Announcements! ( See All )
10/15 - Week 9 assignments have been updated!
10/8 - Week 8 assignments have been updated!
9/24 - Week 6 assignments have been updated! Midterm on 10/3!
9/17 - Week 5 assignments have been updated! Quiz 2 on 9/20!
9/10 - Week 4 assignments have been updated!
9/3 - Week 3 assignments have been updated! HW 2 due 9/4 at 8PM
8/27 - Week 2 assignments have been updated!
8/21 - The semester begins on 8/22. First lecture will be 8/22!
8/21 - Waitlisted students, please see 'About' page for enforced prereqs.

Week 0 Overview

Getting Started

Week 7

Midterm Week

Week 10

Working with Continuous Distributions

Week 11

The Normal and Gamma Families

Week 12

An Approach to Prediction

Week 13

Least Squares Prediction

Week 14

Multivariate Normal

Week 15

Regression

Week 16

RRR Week

Week 17

Finals Week

WeekDateContentPrep & Assignments
1 Wed 8/22 Lecture 1: Probability: Axioms, Rules, Approximation Week 1 Guide
Lab 1: Birthday Attack (Due 8/25 noon)
HW 1 (Due 8/28)
Thu 8/23 Discussion
Fri 8/24 Lab
2 Mon 8/27 Lecture 2: Random Variables: Distributions, Conditioning, Equality Week 2 Guide
Lab 2: Five-Card Poker (Due 9/1 noon)
HW 2 (Due 9/4)
Wed 8/29 Lecture 3: Symmetry and Collections of Events
Thu 8/30 Discussion
Fri 8/31 Lab
3 Mon 9/3 No Lecture (Labor Day): Week 3 Guide
Lab 3: Total Variation (Due 9/8 noon)
HW 3 (Due 9/11)
Wed 9/5 Lecture 4: Binomial and related counts; a Poisson limit
Thu 9/6 QUIZ 1
Fri 9/7 Lab
4 Mon 9/10 Lecture 5: Independence and Poissonization Week 4 Guide
Lab 4: Expectations of Discrete Order Statistics (Due 9/15 noon)
HW 4 (Due 9/18)
Wed 9/12 Lecture 6: Expectation and Additivity
Thu 9/13 Discussion
Fri 9/14 Lab
5 Mon 9/17 Lecture 7: Expectation by conditioning Week 5 Guide
Lab 5: Uniform and Size Biased Permutations (Due 9/22 noon)
HW 5 (Due 9/25)
Wed 9/19 Lecture 8: Long run behavior of Markov Chains
Thu 9/20 QUIZ 2
Fri 9/21 Lab
6 Mon 9/24 Lecture 9: Reversibility Week 6 Guide
Lab 6: Code Breaking by MCMC (Due 9/29 noon)
HW 6 (Due 10/2)
Wed 9/26 Lecture 10: Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Thu 9/27 Discussion
Fri 9/28 Lab
7 Mon 10/1 Lecture 11: Midterm Review Midterm Prep
Wed 10/3 MIDTERM (in class)
Thu 10/4 Day Off
Fri 10/5 Day Off
8 Mon 10/8 Lecture 12: SD: tail bounds, least squares Week 8 Guide
Lab 7: Decisions Based on Ranks (Due 10/13 noon)
HW 7 (Due 10/16)
Wed 10/10 Lecture 13: Covariance and its uses
Thu 10/11 Discussion
Fri 10/12 Lab
9 Mon 10/15 Lecture 14: Central Limit Theorem Week 9 Guide
Lab 8: Simulation and the CDF (Due 10/20 noon)
HW 8 (Due 10/23)
Wed 10/17 Lecture 15: Probability densities
Thu 10/18 Discussion
Fri 10/19 Lab
10 Mon 10/22 Lecture 16: Transformations Week 10 Guide
Lab 9: (Due 10/27 noon)
HW 9 (Due 10/30)
Wed 10/24 Lecture 17: Joint densities; the beta family
Thu 10/25 QUIZ 3
Fri 10/26 Lab
11 Mon 10/29 Lecture 18: Independent normal and gamma variables Week 11 Guide
Lab 10: (Due 11/3 noon)
HW 10 (Due 11/6)
Wed 10/24 Lecture 19: Moment generating functions; Chernoff bound
Thu 10/25 Discussion
Fri 10/26 Lab
12 Mon 11/5 Lecture 20: MLE, posterior distributions, and MAP estimates Week 12 Guide
Lab 11: (Due 11/10 noon)
HW 11 (Due 11/13)
Wed 11/7 Lecture 21: The beta and the binomial
Thu 11/8 Discussion
Fri 11/8 Lab
13 Mon 11/12 NO LECTURE Week 13 Guide
Lab 12: (Due 11/17 noon)
HW 12 (Due 11/20)
Wed 11/14 Lecture 22: Prediction and Error
Thu 11/15 QUIZ 4
Fri 11/16 Lab
14 Mon 11/19 Lecture 23: Multivariate normal distribution Week 14 Guide
HW 13 (Due Fri 11/30)
Wed 11/21 HOLIDAY
Thu 11/22 HOLIDAY
Fri 11/23 HOLIDAY
15 Mon 11/26 Lecture 24: Correlation and simple regression Week 15 Guide
Wed 11/28 Lecture 25: Multiple regression
Thu 11/29 Discussion
Fri 11/30 Review Lab
16 Mon 12/3 Review Lecture Final Prep
Wed 12/5
Thu 12/6
Fri 12/7
17 Mon 12/3
Wed 12/5
Thu 12/6
Fri 12/7 FINAL EXAM 3pm-6pm