Announcements! ( See All )
11/12 Week 12 assignments have been posted. Quiz 3 Wed 11/20 in your assigned section.
11/5 Week 11 assignments have been posted. Quiz 2 Wed 11/6 in your assigned section.
10/29 Week 10 assignments have been posted. Quiz 2 Wed 11/6 in your assigned section.
10/22 Week 9 assignments have been posted.
10/8 Homework 7 posted. The calendar is subject to change pending campus decisions about cancellations.
10/1 Week 6 assignments have been posted. Midterm on 10/10 during lecture time.
9/25 Week 5 assignments have been posted.
9/17 Week 4 assignments have been posted.
9/10 Week 3 assignments have been posted. Quiz 1 Wed 9/11 in your assigned section.
9/3 Week 2 assignments have been posted. Quiz 1 will be on Wed 9/11 in your assigned section. See Piazza for info on Office Hours.
8/29 Welcome to the first lecture of Prob 140! We're excited to have you in this course. Discussion sections start tomorrow 8/30; please be sure to bring a laptop!

Week 0 Overview

Getting Started

Week 1

Introduction

Week 7

Variance and Covariance

Week 13

Beta-Binomial and Prediction

Week 14

Multivariate Normal Distribution

Week 15

Regression

Week 16

RRR Week

Week 17

Finals Week

WeekDateContentPrep & Assignments
1 Thurs 8/29 Lecture 1: Probability — axioms, rules, approximation Week 1 Guide
HW 1 (Due 9/03 at 12:00PM noon)
Fri 8/30 Discussion
2 Tue 9/3 Lecture 2: Random variables - distributions, conditioning, equality Week 2 Guide
Lab 1: Simple Random Samples (Due 9/08 at 12:00PM noon)
HW 2 (Due 9/10 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 9/4 Discussion
Thu 9/5 Lecture 3: Symmetry and collections of events
Fri 9/6 Discussion
3 Tue 9/10 Lecture 4: Binomial and related counts; a Poisson limit Week 3 Guide
Lab 2: Total Variation (Due 9/15 at 12:00PM noon)
HW 3 (Due 9/17 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 9/11 QUIZ 1
Thu 9/12 Lecture 5: Independence and Poissonization
Fri 9/13 Discussion
4 Tue 9/17 Lecture 6: Expectation and additivity Week 4 Guide
Lab 3: Expectation of Discrete Order Statistics (Due 9/22 at 12:00PM noon)
HW 4 (Due 9/24 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 9/18 Discussion
Thu 9/19 Lecture 7: More properties of expectation
Fri 9/20 Discussion
5 Tue 9/24 Lecture 8: Expectation by conditioning Week 5 Guide
Lab 4: Success Runs and Other Patterns (Due 9/29 at 12:00PM noon)
Homework 5 (Due 10/1 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 9/25 Discussion
Thu 9/26 Lecture 9: Long run behavior of Markov Chains
Fri 9/27 Discussion
6 Tue 10/1 Lecture 10: Balance Week 6 Guide
Midterm Contents
Lab 5: Codebreaking by MCMC (Due 10/6 at 12:00PM noon)
Homework 6 (Due 10/8 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 10/2 Discussion
Thu 10/3 Lecture 11: Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Fri 10/4 Discussion
7 Tue 10/8 Lecture 12: SD and tail bounds Midterm Contents
Homework 7 (Due 10/22 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 10/9 Discussion
Thu 10/10 No lecture: Class cancelled
Fri 10/11 Discussion
8 Tue 10/15 Lecture 13: Covariance and its uses Week 8 Guide
Homework 7 (Due 10/22 at 12:00PM noon)
Lab 6: Decisions Based on Ranks (Due 10/20 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 10/16 Discussion
Thu 10/17 Lecture 14: Central Limit Theorem
Fri 10/18 Discussion
9 Tue 10/22 Midterm (in class) Week 9 Guide
Homework 8 (Due 10/29 at 12:00PM noon)
Lab 7: Simulation and the CDF (Due 10/27 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 10/23 Day off: No Discussion
Thu 10/24 Lecture 16: Probability densities
Fri 10/25 Discussion
10 Tue 10/29 Lecture 17: Transformations Week 10 Guide
Homework 9 (Due 11/05 at 12:00PM noon)
Lab 8: Densities and SymPy (Due 11/03 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 10/30 Discussion
Thu 10/31 Lecture 18: Joint densities
Fri 11/1 Discussion
11 Tue 11/5 Lecture 19: Independent normal and gamma variables Week 11 Guide
Homework 10 (Due 11/12 at 12:00PM noon)
Lab 9: Poisson Process (Due 11/17 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 11/6 QUIZ 2
Thu 11/7 Lecture 20: Moment generating functions; CLT revisited; Chernoff bound
Fri 11/8 Discussion
12 Tue 11/12 Lecture 21: MLE Week 12 Guide
Homework 11 (Due 11/19 at 12:00PM noon)
Lab 9: Poisson Process (Due 11/17 at 12:00PM noon)
Wed 11/13 Discussion
Thu 11/14 Lecture 22: Beta family, posterior distributions, and MAP estimates
Fri 11/15 Discussion
13 Tue 11/19 Lecture 23: The beta and the binomial


Wed 11/20 QUIZ 3
Thu 11/21 Lecture 24: Prediction and error
Fri 11/22 Discussion
14 Tue 11/26 Lecture 25: Random vectors; the multivariate normal


Wed 11/27 Non-instructional Day: no Discussion
Thu 11/28 HOLIDAY
Fri 11/29 HOLIDAY
15 Tue 12/3 Lecture 26: Correlation and simple regression

Wed 12/4 Discussion
Thu 12/5 Lecture 27: Multiple regression
Fri 12/6 Discussion
16 Tue 12/10 Final review
17 Thu 12/19 FINAL EXAM (11:30 a.m. to 2:30 p.m.)