Announcements! ( See All )
1/16 - Textbook has been released! Reload the page if the math doesn't render properly.
1/15 - Weekly schedule updated!
1/10 - Resources have been updated!
1/9 - Please review page 2 of the Data 8 Review Guide!
1/9 - Course Information page has been updated!
1/9 - Winter Break is almost over! Prob140 is almost starting!

Week 1

Introduction

Week 3

Random Counts

Week 4

Expectation

Week 5

Markov Chains

Week 6

Reversing Markov Chains

Week 7

Midterm

Week 8

Variance and Covariance

Week 9

Continuous Distributions

Week 10

Working with Continuous Distributions

Week 11

The Normal and Gamma Families

Week 12

An Approach to Prediction

Week 13

Least Squares Prediction

Week 14

Regression

Week 15

WeekDateTopicText SectionsPreparation Assignment
1 Wed 1/17 Probability: Axioms, Rules, Approximation Ch 1: Fundamentals
Ch 2: Calculating Chances
Guide HW 1
Thu 1/18 Discussion Section
Fri 1/19 Lab 1 Lab 1
2 Mon 1/22 Random Variables: Distributions, Conditioning, Equality Ch 3: Random Variables
Ch 4: Relations Between Variables
Tue 1/23 Homework 1 Due
Wed 1/24 Symmetry and Collections of Events Ch 5: Collections of Events
Thu 1/25 Discussion Section
Fri 1/26 Lab 2 Lab 2
3 Mon 1/29 Binomial and Related Counts; the Poisson Limit
Tue 1/30 Homework 2 Due
Wed 1/31 Independence and Poissonization
Thu 2/1 Discussion Section
Fri 2/2 Lab 3 Lab 3
4 Mon 2/5 Expectation and Additivity
Tue 2/6 Homework 3 Due
Wed 2/7 Finding Expectations by Conditioning
Thu 2/8 Discussion Section
Fri 2/9 Lab 4 Lab 4
5 Mon 2/12 Long Run Behavior of Markov Chains
Tue 2/13 Homework 4 Due
Wed 2/14 Reversibility
Thu 2/15 Discussion Section
Fri 2/16 Lab 5 Lab 5
6 Mon 2/19 Holiday: No lecture
Tue 2/20 Homework 5 Due
Wed 2/21 Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Thu 2/22 Discussion Section
Fri 2/23 Lab 6 Lab 6
7 Mon 2/26 Midterm Review
Tue 2/27 Homework 6 Due
Wed 2/28 Midterm
Thu 3/1 No Discussion Section
Fri 3/2 Lab 7 Lab 7
8 Mon 3/5 SD: Tail Bounds, Least Squares
Tue 3/6 Homework 7 Due
Wed 3/7 Covariance and its Uses
Thu 3/8 Discussion Section
Fri 3/9 Lab 8 Lab 8
9 Mon 3/12 Central Limit Theorem
Tue 3/13 Homework 8 Due
Wed 3/14 Probability Densities
Thu 3/15 Discussion Section
Fri 3/16 Lab 9 Lab 9
10 Mon 3/19 Transformations
Tue 3/20 Homework 9 Due
Wed 3/21 Joint Densities; the Beta Family
Thu 3/22 Discussion Section
Fri 3/23 No lab
11 Mon 4/2 Independent Normals; Maximum Likelihood
Tue 4/3 Homework 10 Due
Wed 4/4 Sums and the Gamma Family
Thu 4/5 Discussion Section
Fri 4/6 Lab 10 Lab 10
12 Mon 4/9 Moment Generating Functions; Chernoff Bound
Tue 4/10 Homework 11 Due
Wed 4/11 Prior and Posterior Distributions; Beta-Binomial
Thu 4/12 Discussion Section
Fri 4/13 Lab 11 Lab 11
13 Mon 4/16 Best Predictor
Tue 4/17 Homework 12 Due
Wed 4/18 Best Linear Predictor
Thu 4/19 Discussion Section
Fri 4/20 Lab 12 Lab 12
14 Mon 4/23 Multivariate Normal
Tue 4/24 Homework 13 Due
Wed 4/25 Correlation and Regression
Thu 4/26 Discussion Section
Fri 4/27 Review Session
15 Fri 5/11 FINAL EXAM (3-6)